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ENBRIDGE INC (ENB)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q2 adjusted EBITDA of C$4.644B (+7% YoY), adjusted EPS of C$0.65, GAAP EPS C$1.00; management reaffirmed FY25 guidance and said results should finish near the upper end of the range .
  • Versus Wall Street consensus (S&P Global), ENB delivered a strong beat on revenue ($10.91B vs $7.78B) and EPS ($0.48 vs $0.42), while EBITDA was below consensus ($2.99B vs $3.31B), reflecting definitional differences (adjusted vs reported) and hedge settlements [GetEstimates]* .
  • Segment mix: Gas Transmission (+C$302MM YoY) and Gas Distribution (+C$273MM YoY) drove growth; Liquids Pipelines (-C$120MM YoY) and Renewables (-C$27MM YoY) were headwinds .
  • Growth catalysts: Clear Fork Solar (US$0.9B) contracted with Meta, Line 31 expansion (US$0.1B), North Aitken Creek storage ($0.3B), Traverse upsized to 2.5 Bcf/d; Mainline Optimization Phase 1 FID targeted later this year .
  • Balance sheet and capital returns: Debt/EBITDA 4.7x, quarterly common dividend C$0.9425 declared; management emphasized $9–$10B annual investment capacity and continued dividend growth .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong utility and gas transmission performance: Adjusted EBITDA in Gas Transmission rose C$302MM YoY on revised U.S. rates, acquisitions, and higher BC volumes/storage utilization . “Our strong first half of 2025 gives us confidence that we'll finish the year in the upper end of our EBITDA guidance range” — CEO Greg Ebel .
  • Strategic growth sanctioned: Clear Fork Solar (600 MW, US$0.9B) fully backed by Meta; Line 31 expansion; Aitken Creek 40 Bcf storage expansion; Traverse upsized to 2.5 Bcf/d to meet demand .
  • Reaffirmed guidance and stable frameworks: FY25 adjusted EBITDA C$19.4–C$20.0B, DCF/share C$5.50–C$5.90; ~98% EBITDA under regulated/long-term contracts; negligible tariff exposure cited .

What Went Wrong

  • Liquids Pipelines softness: Adjusted EBITDA fell C$120MM YoY on lower volumes at Flanagan South/Spearhead and Bakken .
  • Hedge settlements impacted corporate segment: Eliminations & Other adjusted EBITDA down C$119MM YoY due to higher realized FX hedge losses .
  • Ohio utility impairment and rate case complexity: Regulatory asset impairment in Enbridge Gas Ohio and rehearing filed; CFO/management acknowledged legal issues and plan for updated filings .

Financial Results

Headline Metrics (USD, S&P Global)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD)$8.28B*$12.87B*$10.91B*
EBITDA ($USD)$2.63B*$3.58B*$2.99B*
EBITDA Margin (%)31.70%*27.85%*27.44%*
Net Income ($USD)$1.42B*$1.64B*$1.67B*
Net Income Margin (%)17.14%*12.78%*15.32%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment Adjusted EBITDA (CAD, Q2)

SegmentQ2 2024Q2 2025
Liquids PipelinesC$2,456MM C$2,336MM
Gas TransmissionC$1,082MM C$1,384MM
Gas Distribution & StorageC$567MM C$840MM
Renewable PowerC$147MM C$120MM
Eliminations & OtherC$83MM (C$36MM)
Total Adjusted EBITDAC$4,335MM C$4,644MM

KPIs and Cash Flow (CAD)

KPIQ2 2024Q2 2025
Mainline volumes (mmbpd, avg)3.0
Debt/EBITDA (rolling 12M)4.7x
DCFC$2,858MM C$2,903MM
Cash from OperationsC$2,814MM C$3,238MM

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025C$19.4–C$20.0B C$19.4–C$20.0B Maintained
DCF per ShareFY 2025C$5.50–C$5.90 C$5.50–C$5.90 Maintained
Dividend (Common)Q3 2025 payable Sept 1C$0.9425/qtr C$0.9425/qtr Maintained
Management QualitativeFY 2025Expect finish near upper end of EBITDA range Raised bias

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
AI/data center power demandHighlighted 2+ GW solar PPAs (Amazon, AT&T, Toyota); building Permian “gas super system” Clear Fork Solar (Meta) sanctioned; 10+ data center opportunities late-stage; Texas Eastern interconnects (Homer City) in commercialization Accelerating
Tariffs/macro volatilityTariff exposure deemed negligible; low-risk frameworks; reaffirmed guidance Reiterated negligible impact; 98% EBITDA regulated/contracted; bonus depreciation supportive Stable/benign
Liquids Mainline optimizationAnnounced up to C$2B reliability capital; FSP open season FSP oversubscribed; Phase 1 150 kbpd expansion targeting FID later this year Advancing to FID
Regulatory/legal (utilities)Ontario Phase II rebasing; new U.S. rate cases Ohio decision (9.8% ROE; equity thickness 51.9%); impairment, rehearing filed; Utah/NC rate cases in progress Mixed but constructive
Storage/LNG connectivityTres Palacios expansion; Venice Extension IS Aitken Creek +40 Bcf; multiple Gulf Coast storage open seasons; LNG connectivity growth Expanding

Management Commentary

  • “Enbridge reported record Q2 EBITDA and we expect to finish the year in the upper end of that guidance range… well on track to meet the mid-point of our per share metrics in 2025” — Greg Ebel, CEO .
  • “We sanctioned the US$0.9 billion Clear Fork Solar project… fully backed by a long-term offtake agreement with Meta. We don’t currently expect the changes to renewable tax credits… to impact Clear Fork or any of our other late-stage development projects.” .
  • “Alongside our partners, we upsized the Traverse Pipeline from 1.75 bcf/d to 2.5 bcf/d… provides bidirectional service between Agua Dulce and Katy” .
  • “We’re laser focused on disciplined capital allocation… leverage has improved and now sits at 4.7x… $9 to $10 billion of annual investment capacity… execute on our $32 billion backlog” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Power demand and data centers: 35+ GTM opportunities totaling ~11 Bcf/day; 10+ specific data center opportunities; Texas Eastern near Homer City with ~10 Bcf/day underutilized receipts enabling economical expansions .
  • Mainline expansion gating: Flanagan South open season oversubscribed; path to include rate base treatment under CTS/MTS with precedent; FID later this year .
  • Ohio rate case and impairment: Strong framework (ROE ~9.8%, equity thickness 51.9%); impairment primarily pension asset treatment; rehearing filed; management confident in utility growth .
  • Permian and Gulf Coast strategy: JV with WhiteWater progressing; Traverse upsized; optionality between Agua Dulce/Katy; storage expansions under review .
  • Contracting frameworks for data center-related builds: Preference for utility or investment-grade counterparties under long-term take-or-pay; smaller hyperscalers require LC’s/aid-to-construct .

Estimates Context

Metric (USD)Consensus (Q2 2025)Actual (Q2 2025)Surprise
Primary EPS$0.42$0.48Bold beat
Revenue$7.78B$10.91BBold beat
EBITDA$3.31B$2.99BMiss

Consensus detail: EPS (12 est), Revenue (3 est). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Context: Management reported adjusted EBITDA of C$4.644B (+7% YoY) and adjusted EPS C$0.65; differences vs S&P reported EBITDA reflect non‑GAAP adjustments and FX hedges captured in Eliminations & Other .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Estimate beats on revenue and EPS, with EBITDA under S&P consensus; Street may revise models to incorporate stronger utility/gas transmission contributions and FX-hedge impacts (positive for per-share metrics) [GetEstimates]* .
  • Near-term catalysts: Mainline Optimization Phase 1 FID; further data center-related gas expansions and storage contracts; continued project sanctions across segments .
  • Liquids headwinds localized (FSP/Spearhead/Bakken volumes) but Mainline volumes remained robust at 3.0 mmbpd; optimization investments should support utilization and ROE within collar .
  • Balance sheet healthy at 4.7x Debt/EBITDA, supporting $9–$10B annual investable capacity and sustained dividend growth; common dividend C$0.9425 declared .
  • Regulatory outlook constructive overall: Ohio outcome mixed but ROE/equity thickness supportive; Utah/NC rate cases progressing; Ontario rebasing framework in place .
  • Strategic positioning to serve rising North American power demand via “all-of-the-above” approach (gas transmission, storage, renewables); marquee customers (Meta, Amazon, AT&T) increase visibility .
  • Medium-term thesis: diversified, low-risk cash flows (~98% protected) and $32B secured backlog underpin ~5% annual growth post-2026; watch for LNG/storage leverage and Permian egress optionality .

Notes on Non-GAAP: ENB’s adjusted metrics exclude unrealized derivative fair value changes, impairments, realized hedge losses, and other items (see reconciliation tables); Eliminations & Other captures FX hedge settlements that can swing reported versus adjusted EBITDA .

Values retrieved from S&P Global where indicated.*